{"id":489,"date":"2008-03-08T23:00:08","date_gmt":"2008-03-08T14:00:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/testwww.kanekashi.com\/blog\/?p=421"},"modified":"2008-03-08T23:00:08","modified_gmt":"2008-03-08T14:00:08","slug":"%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e6%b8%a9%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96%ef%bd%83%ef%bd%8f%ef%bc%92%e8%aa%ac%e3%82%92%e5%88%87%e3%82%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.kanekashi.com\/blog\/2008\/03\/489.html","title":{"rendered":"\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\uff23\uff2f\uff12\u8aac\u3092\u5207\u308b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u300c\u5730\u8cea\u5b66\u304b\u3089\u306e\u5730\u7403\u74b0\u5883\u554f\u984c\u2500\u6c37\u6cb3\u671f\u3068\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u554f\u984c\u300d<br \/>\n\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u4e3b\u72af\u306f\uff23\uff2f\uff12\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8aac\u304c\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u4e3b\u6d41\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"%E5%9C%B0%E7%90%83%E6%B0%97%E6%B8%A9%E3%81%AE%E4%B8%8A%E6%98%87%E3%81%AE%E3%82%B3%E3%83%94%E3%83%BC.jpg\" src=\"\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/%E5%9C%B0%E7%90%83%E6%B0%97%E6%B8%A9%E3%81%AE%E4%B8%8A%E6%98%87%E3%81%AE%E3%82%B3%E3%83%94%E3%83%BC.jpg\" width=\"471\" height=\"338\" \/><br \/>\n[<a href=\"http:\/\/www.env.go.jp\/earth\/ipcc\/4th\/interim-j.pdf\">\uff12\uff10\uff19\uff10\u301c\uff12\uff10\uff19\uff19\u5e74\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u5e73\u5747\u5730\u4e0a\u6c17\u6e29\u5909\u5316\u4e88\u6e2c]<\/a><br \/>\n\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3053\u306e\u8aac\u306b\u771f\u3063\u5411\u304b\u3089\u7570\u8ad6\u3092\u5531\u3048\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u304c\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u4eca\u65e5\u306f\u56fa\u4f53\u5730\u7403\u79d1\u5b66\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u3067\u5e73\u6210\uff16\u306b\u7d2b\u7dac\u8912\u7ae0\u3092\u53d7\u8cde\u3057\u305f\u305d\u306e\u4eba\u3001<span style=\"color:#ff3300;\"><span style=\"font-size:130%;\">\u4e38\u5c71\u8302\u5fb3<\/span><\/span>\u6c0f\u306e\u8aac\u3092\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<br \/>\n\u30af\u30ea\u30c3\u30af\u3092\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><br \/>\n\u25a1\u3000\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u4e3b\u72af\u3068\u3057\u3066\uff23\uff2f\uff12\u8aac\u3092\u4e3b\u5c0e\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001\u56fd\u969b\u9023\u76df\u306e\u4e0b\u90e8\u6a5f\u95a2\u3067\u3042\u308b\u300c\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u653f\u5e9c\u9593\u30d1\u30cd\u30eb\uff08IPCC\uff09\u300d\u3068\u547c\u3070\u308c\u308b\u300c\u56fd\u969b\u7684\u306a\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u3067\u3064\u304f\u308b\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u306a\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u53ce\u96c6\u3001\u6574\u7406\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306e\u653f\u5e9c\u9593\u6a5f\u69cb\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3001\u5b66\u8853\u7684\u306a\u6a5f\u95a2\u300d\u3067\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u6700\u65b0\u306e<span style=\"font-size:130%;\">\u7b2c4\u6b21\u8a55\u4fa1\u5831\u544a\u66f8<\/span>\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001<br \/>\n130\u30f5\u56fd\u4ee5\u4e0a\u304b\u3089\u306e450\u540d\u8d85\u306e\u4ee3\u8868\u57f7\u7b46\u8005\u30fb800\u540d\u8d85\u306e\u57f7\u7b46\u5354\u529b\u8005\u306b\u3088\u308b\u5bc4\u7a3f\u3001\u304a\u3088\u3073<span style=\"color:#ff3300;\">2500\u540d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6<\/span>\u306b\u3088\u308b\u67fb\u8aad\u3092\u7d4c\u3066\u4f5c\u6210\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b<br \/>\n\u305d\u3057\u3066\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u304b\u3089\u3053\u308c\u3060\u3051\u306e\u6709\u80fd\u306a\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u82f1\u77e5\u3092\u96c6\u3081\u3066\u51fa\u3057\u305f\u7d50\u8ad6\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u4e3b\u72af\u4eba\u306f\uff23\uff2f\uff12\u3067\u9593\u9055\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u304c\u4eca\u3084\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u5b9a\u8aac\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<br \/>\n\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u30ce\u30fc\u30d9\u30eb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u53d7\u8cde\u8005\u304c\u7d4c\u55b6\u53c2\u52a0\u3059\u308b\uff2c\uff34\uff23\uff2d\uff08\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c9\uff09\u304c\u7834\u7dbb\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u5178\u578b\u7684\u306b\u898b\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u3053\u306e\u300c\u6709\u80fd\u306a\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u82f1\u77e5\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3082\u306e\u304c\u3044\u304b\u306b\u5f53\u3066\u306b\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6211\u3005\u306f\u7d4c\u9a13\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002<br \/>\n\u25a1\uff29\uff30\uff23\uff23\u306e<a href=\"http:\/\/www.data.kishou.go.jp\/climate\/cpdinfo\/ipcc\/ar4\/ipcc_ar4_wg1_es_faq_chap11.pdf\">\u5831\u544a\u66f8<\/a>\u306e\u4e00\u7bc0\u3092\u898b\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u300c\u3053\u306e<span style=\"color:#6666ff;\">\u5927\u6c17\u6d77\u6d0b\u7d50\u5408\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\uff08AOGCM\uff09<\/span>\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u8a08\u7b97\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002AOGCM \u306f\u306a\u304a\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u8d77\u3053\u308a\u5f97\u308b\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u5e45\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u5730\u57df\u7684\u306a\u60c5\u5831\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u6e90\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u89e3\u50cf\u5ea6\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u3001\u307e\u305f\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u5316\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u3055\u307e\u3056\u307e\u306a\u904e\u7a0b\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u304c\u9032\u307f\u3001\u307e\u305f\u3001\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u6570\u304c\u5897\u52a0\u3059\u308b\u306b\u3064\u308c\u3001\u5730\u57df\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u5316\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u3092\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u63cf\u5199\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u53ef\u80fd\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002<br \/>\nAOGCM 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